January 30, 2013 at 5:54 p.m.
Johnson is still the one to beat
1. Jimmie Johnson (car No. 48): A lot has changed but one thing hasn't. This is the team the rest of the field is chasing. The fact that a bid for a third straight title isn't the biggest preseason story is good news for them, too. Final 2007 ranking: 1.
2. Jeff Gordon (car No. 24): Gordon didn't win the '07 title and said he learned consistency might not be enough any more. If he comes close his total of 30 top-10 finishes, though, don't bet against him. Final 2007 ranking: 2.
3. Carl Edwards (car No. 99): It was hard to decide who to put third on this list. Edwards gets it because among the top-tier teams in the mix his seems to have the fewest changes entering the new season. Final 2007 ranking: 8.
4. Matt Kenseth (car No. 17): New crew chief Chip Bolin has been part of this team for a long time and former crew chief Robbie Reiser is still just down the hall. There's no reason this team won't remain consistently excellent. Final 2007 ranking: 3.
5. Tony Stewart (car No. 20): It really surprised us - and really disappointed him - that Stewart and his team didn't put up more resistance to the Hendrick Motorsports romp through last year's Chase. Final 2007 ranking: 6.
6. Dale Earnhardt Jr. (car No. 88): Our bottom line on this is that we don't think team owner Rick Hendrick will let Earnhardt Jr. fail. Final 2007 ranking: 15.
7. Kyle Busch (car No. 18): Can he top Earnhardt Jr., who basically took his Hendrick ride? It's why we watch. Final 2007 ranking: 22.
8. Kurt Busch (car No. 2): If Dodge enjoys significant improvement in 2008 this team is our choice to lead it. Final 2007 ranking: 9.
9. Denny Hamlin (car No. 11): As with Hendrick Motorsports, the Joe Gibbs Racing drivers will flourish through in-house competition. Final 2007 ranking: 12.
10. Kevin Harvick (car No. 29): Richard Childress Racing needs more performance from the Car of Tomorrow to truly contend. Final 2007 ranking: 7.
11. Casey Mears (car No. 5): This team, with Kyle Busch driving, made the '07 Chase. It can do it with Mears, too. Final 2007 ranking: 5.
12. Ryan Newman (car No. 12): Two Dodges, two Fords and two Toyotas in the Chase would at least make Chevy work a little bit. Final 2007 ranking: 13.
13. Clint Bowyer (car No. 07): Great things are possible for this team. But sliding a half-step back is possible, too. Final 2007 ranking: 4.
14. Jeff Burton (car No. 31): We see gains for Hendrick, Gibbs and Penske teams coming largely at the expense of RCR. Final 2007 ranking: 10.
15. Martin Truex Jr. (car No. 1): It's not that we doubt Truex. We fear Dale Earnhardt Inc. is in for a rebuilding year. Final 2007 ranking: 11.
16. Greg Biffle (car No. 16): If we miss on this team, it'll be that we've got them too low. Lots of upside potential. Final 2007 ranking: 14.
17. Juan Pablo Montoya (car No. 42): Another guy who could make us look really bad if he keeps improving at his '07 rate. Final 2007 ranking: 17.
18. Kasey Kahne (car No. 9): Was '07 a nightmarish aberration? It was bad enough that we have to see it to believe it. Final 2007 ranking: 21.
19. Mark Martin/Aric Alimirola (car No. 8): An interesting thought: Might the No. 8 car with Martin win before the No. 88 does? Final 2007 ranking: 16.
20. Jamie McMurray (car No. 26): McMurray did win once last season, but the breakout season we keep expecting just hasn't come. Final 2007 ranking: 19.
21. Reed Sorenson (car No. 41): If Ganassi cars improve so that ex-Indy 500 winners excel, Sorensen might benefit most. Final 2007 ranking: 23.
22. Bobby Labonte (car No. 43): If Petty teams had moved operations into Hendrick Motorsport's shop you might have something. Final 2007 ranking: 18.
23. David Ragan (car No. 6): To comply with NASCAR's rules Roush Fenway Racing has to eliminate a team in 2009 and the sponsor of this team is leaving after this season. That's what you call pressure. Final 2007 ranking: 24.
24. Dave Blaney (car No. 22): Toyota needs to show improvement somewhere other than with the new Gibbs teams. Final 2007 ranking: 34.
25. Dario Franchitti (car No. 40): Keep in mind Franchitti arrives with more oval-track experience than Montoya had. Final 2007 ranking: 26.
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